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Jarape Forense "ESTADISTICA Y MATEMATICA"

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Observatorio Forense de Jarape

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BAD STATISTISC - MALA ESTADÍSTICA

  • Bad statistics lead to misinformation [Status Report]
  • Basic statistics for research. Forensic data case study in regression

BAYESIAN ANALYSIS - ANÁLISIS BAYESIANO

  • An introduction to bayesian networks and their contemporary applications (Daryle Niedermayer)
  • An introduction to bayesian statistics in forensic problems [4N6site.com]
  • Application of bayesian networks in forensic genetics and criminalistics (Grzegorz Zadora y Paulina Wolanska-Nowak)
  • Baye's theorem in the court of appeal (Bernard Robertson y Tony Vignaux)
  • Bayesian classification with gaussian processes (Christopher K. Williams y David Barber)
  • Bayesian data analysis (Gary Rosner y Peter Muller)
  • Bayesian methods in risk assessment (Dominique Guyonnet)
  • Bayesian networks and the evaluation of scientific evidence: A theoretical approach (Franco Taroni y Paolo Garbolino) {Problems of Forensic Sciences. 2001}
  • Bayesian statistics [Forensic Science Resources]
  • Conditional probability and education reform: Are they compatible? (Allan J. Rossman y Thomas H. Short)
  • Did he do it? Evaluating evidence using bayesian networks (L. G. de Pillis y A. E. Radunskaya)
  • Information-theoretical evaluation of likelihoods ratios (Daniel Ramos y Joaquín González Rodríguez)
  • Likelihood ratios. What are they good for?
  • Linguistic bayesian networks for reasoning with subjective probabilities in forensic statistics (Joe Halliwell et al)
  • Realistic matching odds (Balding)
  • The "Jury observation fallacy" and the use of bayesian networks to present probabilistic legal arguments (Norman Fenton y Martin Neil)
  • The Bayesian Evidence Page

BIAS - SESGO

  • History of bias (Paolo Vineis)

CASES - CASOS

  • Shoot to kill? Bentham´s defense - An internet discussion
  • Statistical inference and forensic evidence: Evaluating a bullet lead match (Suzanne O. Kaasa et al)

CONTROVERSY - CONTROVERSIA

  • Are expert opinions telling us both sides of the story? (A. Philip Dawid y Gianluca Baio)
  • Statistics and trace evidence: The tyranny of numbers (Max M. Houck)

DATA - DATOS

  • CODIS, NDIS, SDIS, Familial Searching (Partial match and moderate stringency) an arrestee and offernder database searches versus expungment (Justin McShane) {The Truth About Forensic Sciences, 2014}
  • Computer-aided data handling in casework (Thomas Biermann y Stefan Deck) {Problems of Forensic Sciences. 2001}
  • Data collection and analysis in forensic science (David Lucy)
  • Data quality begins in a glass jar (Susan R. Benes)
  • Forensic database application (Karin S. Dorman)
  • Instrumental values (Andrew Chesher)
  • Topics in statistical data analysis: Revealing facts from data (Hossein Arsham)

DISTRIBUTIONS - DISTRIBUCIONES

  • Explicit alternative testing: Applications of the binomial probability distributions to clinical-forensic evaluations (Harold V. Hall y Jane S. Thompson)
  • Nonparametric identification under discrete variation (Andrew Chesher)

ESTADISTICA / STATISTICS

  • Confidence limits and the limits of confidence (F. Kee)
  • Confidence limits made easy: Interval estimation using a substitution method (Leslie E. Daly)
  • Estadística básica con aplicaciones en MS Excel (Víctor Manuel Quesada y Juan carlos Vergara)
  • Evaluation of Chan's tetrahedron classification method and Karweng dissimilarity index using heroin impurity data (Kar-Weng Chan) {Egyptian Journal of Forensic Sciences, 2013}
  • Forensic statistics (John V. Planz)
  • Free Statistics
  • Higher-order wavelet statistics and their application to digital forensics (Hany Farid y Siwei Lyu)
  • Non-parametric statistical techniques for computational forensic engineering (Jennifer Lee Wong)
  • Object-oriented graphical representation of complex patterns of evidence (Amanda B. Hepler et al)
  • Performance of some supervised and unsupervised multivariate techniques for grouping authentic and unauthentic viagra and cialis (Michel Anzanello et al) {Egyptian Journal of Forensic Sciences, 2014}
  • Preface - One day one topic seminar: "Evidence and Statistics" (Colin G. G. Aitken)
  • Preliminary F0 statistics and forensic phonetics (Jonas Lindh)
  • Problems with using Microsoft excel for statistics (Jonathan D. Cryer)
  • Reference guide on statistics (David H. Kaye y David A. Freedman)
  • Regularized estimation of large covariance matrices (Peter J. Bickel y Elizaveta Levina)
  • Semiparametric identification in duration models (Andrew Chesher)
  • Some aspects of statistical inference from non-experimental data (A. P. Dawid)
  • Some properties of similar pairs (Gunnar Blom y Lars Holst)
  • Some statistical aspects in forensic science (Ka-lai Chan)
  • Statistical modelling in specific case analysis (C. G. G. Aitken et al)
  • Statistics every writer should know (RobertNiles.com)
  • Statistics in court: The ultimate communication challenge (Janet Chaseling)
  • Statistics in forensic science. Part I. An aid to investigation (Colin G. G. Aitken)
  • Statistics in forensic science. Part II. An aid to the evaluation of evidence (Colin G. G. Aitken)
  • Statistics on trial (A. P. Dawid)
  • Teaching statistics to an audience of one: The judicial reception of statistical evidence (Mary W. Gray)
  • Teaching stistics using forensic examples (Wing K. Fung)
  • The divorce of probabilistic mathematics from forensic rethoric (and why this matters to technical communication( (Terri Palmer)
  • The evidential value of transfer evidences - A hit-and-run accident (Grzegorz Zadora y Beata M. Trzcinska)
  • The relationship between confidence and accuracy: Current thoughts of the literature and a new area of research (Kevin Krug)
  • The role of statistical methods in assessing the evidential value of physicochemical data (Grzegorz Zadora)
  • The role of statistics in forensic science casework and research (Marjan Sjerps)
  • Theory versus data: How to calculate Ro? (Romulus Breban et al)
  • Tools for decision analysis: Analysis of risky decisions (Hossein Arsham)
  • Using the box to think outside it - Creative scepticism and computer decision support in crime investigations (Burkhard Schafer y Jeroen Keppens)
  • Variational gaussian process classifiers (Mark N. Gibb y David J. MacKay)

EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN - DISEÑO EXPERIMENTAL

  • Experimental design and optimisation (1): an introduction to some basic concepts (J. N. Miller et al)
  • Experimental desing and optimisation (2): handling uncontrolled factors (J. N. Miller et al)
  • Interrupted time series quasi-experiments (Gene V Glass)

GENERAL

  • A wigmorean interpretation of the evaluation of a complicated pattern of evidence (David A. Schum)
  • Advanced statistics for criminology/criminal justice
  • Beyond covariation: cues to causal structure (David A. Lagnado et al)
  • Capturing an interesting subtlety involving a source of testimonial evidence (D. Schum)
  • Correlation of complex evidences and link discovery (Boris Kovalerchuk)
  • Don´t teach statistics to lawyers! (Bernard Robertson y G. A. Vignaux)
  • Explaining evidence logically (Barnard Robertson y Tony Vignaux)
  • Forensic epidemiology: A systematic approach to probabilistic determinations in disputed matters (Michael D. Freeman et al)
  • Identification analysis and evidence science (Andrew Chesher)
  • Interpreting scientific evidence
  • Justice by the numbers: Educating judicial decision makers (Mary Gray y Nawar Al-Shara)
  • Multiuser detection and statistical physics (Dongning Guo y Sergio Verdú)
  • Selection effects in forensic science (Geert Jan Franx et al)
  • Understanding basic statistical concepts (as applied to fingerprints) (Michele Triplett) {97th International Educational Conference, 2012}

GUIDELINES - GUÍAS

  • Guidance for best practice sampling in forensic science [ENFSI]

MVDA and PCA

  • Multivariate data analysis (Gooitzen Zwanenburg)
  • Uncorrelated multilinear PCA through succesive variance maximization (Haipung Lu et al)

NON PARAMETRIC STATISTICS - ESTADÍSTICA NO PARAMÉTRICA

  • Curso de modelos no paramétricos (Pedro Delicado). Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya. 2008

PROBABILITY - PROBABILIDAD

  • Juror understanding of random match probabilities (Dale A. Nance)
  • Probability and evidence (J. Mortera y A. P. Dawid)
  • Probability and statistics in the law (Philip Dawid)

REGRESSION - REGRESIÓN

  • PLS regression and the covariance (Agnar Hoskuldsson)
  • Prediction with gaussian processes: From linear regression to linear prediction and beyond (C. K. L. Williams)
  • Predictions in linear models (Agnar Hoskuldsson)
  • Reference guide on multiple regression (Daniel L. Rubinfeld)

SAMPLING - MUESTREO

  • Qualitative sampling v statistical analysis v Daubert (Lonnie Haughton)

SIX SIGMA

  • Chemistry six sigma (Melda Brown)
  • From method performance claims to six sigma metrics: A chemistry analyzer (Sten Westgard)
  • From method performance claims to six sigma metrics: A POC chemistry analyzer (Sten Westgard)

STATISTICAL TESTS - PRUEBAS ESTADÍSTICAS

  • An analysis of variance test for normality (Complete samples) (S. S. Shapiro y M. B. Wilk) {Biometrika 1965}
  • Testing for differences between two groups: t test (Lee A. Becker)
  • Welch's t test [Wikipedia]

UNCERTAINTY - INCERTIDUMBRE

  • Optimising your uncertainty - a case study (M. H. Ramsey et al)
  • Uncertainty analysis in a forensic practice, Part 1 (Arthur Croft)
  • Uncertainty analysis in a forensic practice, Part two (Arthur Croft)
  • Uncertainty in forensic science (C. G. G. Aitken)

PRESENTATIONS - PRESENTACIONES

  • Forensic statistics: Ready for consumption? (Richard Gill) {Mathematical Institute, Leiden University}

RESOURCES - RECURSOS

  • Free statistical software [Fee Statistics]

ARTICULOS POR SUBSCRIPCION

  • A general approach to bayesian networks for the interpretation of evidence (F. Taroni et al)
  • Application of simple bayesian statistics to a sample database for source correspondence (Rajesh Kumar)
  • Bioanalytical method validation and its implications for forensic and clinical toxicology - A review (Frank Peters y Hans Maurer)
  • Evaluation of scientific evidence using bayesian networks (P. Garbolino)

DATOS ESTADISTICOS / STATISTICAL DATA

  • Alcohol-related traffic fatalities [Compass of Larimer County]
  • Análisis toxicológico. Muertes en accidente de tráfico. Año 2001 [Ministerio de Justicia. España]
  • Análisis toxicológico. Muertes en accidentes de tráfico. Año 2002 [Ministerio de Justicia. España]
  • Cifras del crimen y realidad nacional 2000. Qué pasa en 2006. Honduras: la violencia en cifras (Julieta Castellanos)
  • Comportamiento delictivo en Bogotá [Alcaldía Mayor de Bogotá]
  • Effectiveness of applying a bayesian network to the offender profiling: Stochastic inference of the indoor-sex-offender's employment (Wataru Zaitsu et al)
  • Estadísticas y trascendencia de la violencia sexual en menores (M. L. Suarez Solá y J. González Delgado)
  • Homicidios Colombia, 2005 (Luz Adriana Ramírez Lorenzo et al)
  • Homicidios Colombia, 2006 (Jorge Oswaldo González Ortiz y Héctor Wilson Hernández cardozo)
  • Homicidios y armas de fuego en la República Dominicana (Mayra Brea de Cabral)
  • Lesiones de causa externa. Colombia 2005 [INMLCF]
  • Lesiones fatales accidentales. Colombia, 2006 (Jorge Oswaldo González ortiz y Héctor Wilson Hernández Cardozo)
  • Lesiones interpersonales (María Isabel Soriano)
  • Lesiones interpersonales (Wilson Hernández C)
  • Lesiones no fatales. Colombia, 2006 (Jorge Oswaldo González Ortiz y Marta Isabel Soriano Bernal)
  • Proyectiles de armas de fuego: El impacto social visto desde la perspectiva de medicina legal, Corte Suprema de Justicia. Nicaragua, 2001-2006 (Ernestina Cuadra Rocha)
  • Statistical analysis of toxicological studies carried out at DFM PMU in the years 2000-2004 with particular focus on persons involved in road accidentes (Barbara Potocka-Banas et al)

MATEMATICAS / MATH

  • Accuracy of Balwant Rai equations in age determinant from osteons and age (Balwant Rai et al)
  • Discovery of tri-edge inequality with several binary vector dissimilarity measures (Bin Zhang y Sargur Srihari)
  • Effectiveness of journal ranking schemes as a tool for locating information (Michael J. Stringer et al)
  • Forensic mathematics (Charles H. Brenner)
  • Forensic science in the middle school math classroom (Patricia Roberto)
  • On applying point-interval logic to criminal forensics (Mashhood Ishaque et al)
  • Reading related to forensic mathematics
  • Z-transform method for pairwise osteometric pair-matching (Julia Warnke-Sommer et al) [J. Forensic Sciences, 2018]

TABLAS - TABLES

  • Calculators for statistical table entries [VassarStat]
  • Distribution tables [Stat Soft Inc.]
  • MedCalc
  • Statistical tables [King Saud University]
  • Statistical tables and plots using S and LaTex (FE Harrel)
  • Tablas de estadística (Supervisor: José Uberos)
  • Tablas y formulas estadísticas (Carlo Magno Araya)
  • Zero-based acceptance sampling plan

REGRESSION - REGRESIÓN

  • A comparison of ordinary least squares and logistic regression (John T. Pohlmann y Dennis W. Leitner)
  • Slope, distance and equation calculator

REVISTAS / MAGAZINES

  • Egyptian Journal of Forensic Sciences

LIBROS / BOOKS

  • Bayesian Learning for Neural Networks (Radford M. Neal)
  • Diseño de experimentos (Robert Kuehl)
  • Generalized Principal Component Analysis (René Vidal et al)
  • Pattern Recognition and Neural Networks (B. D. Ripley)

SITIOS DE INTERES / INTERESTING SITES

  • ASA - American Statistical Association
  • Colin Aitken's Home Page
  • Forensic Mathematics
  • Forensische Statistiek
  • Free online calculators
  • Free statistical analysis software [HyperStat]
  • JRSA - Justice Research and Statistics Association
  • National Archive of Criminal Justice Data
  • NSCB - National Statistical Coordination Board
  • Royal Statistical Society
  • The Joseph Bell Centre for Forensic Statistics and Legal Reasoning

MUSIC - MÚSICA

  • Contando las estrellas - Armando Moreno con la orquesta de Enrique Rodríguez
  • Decimal. The Frost Report - Tom Lehrer
  • El 13 - Joaquín Do Reyes y su orquesta típica
  • El 19 - Alberto Beltán
  • La número 5 - Alfredo Gobbi
  • New math - Tom Lehrer
  • That's math - Tom Lehrer
  • The derivative song - Tom Lehrer

Videos

  • Photogrammetry - Solved

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